Friday, September 27, 2013

ROOT CAUSE OF INFLATION FOR THE COMMON MAN: NO CONTROL OVER MAXIMUM RETAIL PRICE OF VEGETABLES AND FRUITS


This phenomenon of not having a regulatory or a cap on the PROFIT LEVELS OF THE RETAILERS OF THE VEGETABLE AND FRUIT RETAILERS has been escaping the attention of almost all people dealing with the inflation in India. The reason is that this inflation we take it as granted because there is no regulator and all people who are involved seem so poor that it certainly does not come to the notice very easily. It can be pointer to how much money is moving in the hands of few which are also unaccounted. With this as a little back ground the focus of this paper is simply to point out the following few facts. Very little has been written on the subject per se when I went to research on the Internet too. So it has escaped the eye of many researchers too.
But what is mind boggling is the numbers which are affected by this hidden shylock type of fleecing of the poor .  This effect all persons across the population spectrum but  certainly very large poor  and lower middle class people are affected by these high profits  which affect the consumer prices of fruit and  vegetable prices. In this game of making more money in a short time the irony is that mostly poor are fleecing the poor.

The prices of the retail are fixed on whim and fancy of retailers and are very   high for poor consumers   as the percentage of profit is always ranging from 40 to 100 percent. They are kept artificially high even invoking some reason or the other like either the production has been less, rains have spoilt the crop, or the transportation has failed, hording by big whole selling traders there by reducing the quantity in to the market so to meet the  demand and supply cycle.
There is no way a consumer can know the actual buyers cost because he has to pay  as asked by retailer  and he has no source to verify the information supplied verbally.There is a MRP on almost all goods which a poor person uses for his survival like Atta, rice, sugar, salt, medicines, but for the vegetable and fruit s there is no such MRP.
OK we can argue that it is  very difficult  to fix a MRP for vegetables and fruits in view of the following

·         Fluctuating Quality

·         Perishing of vegetables and fruits  due to weather

·         Perish ability due to moisture content

·         Varied Varieties,

·         Level of Freshness’ after plucking

·         Transportation charge variation,

·         Market expenses/taxes

What needs to be done?
Agreed you cannot have a MRP but certainly the regulator can fix as it does the  MAXIMUM SELLING PRICE . Here it will be max profit margin by percentage on the whole sale price while keeping all the factors in view or in other words what we can still fix is the percentage of profit which can be in a range from 5- to 25 percentage keeping in view the effort, man hours spent and capital put in but no way it can be allowed to be 100% or more as is happening now.

This is actual a grey area for income tax as most of the segment involved in this trade is non IT payee.
There are large implications for Punjab government and local population at large especially the lower strata of society in particular.  A closer look at this segment reveals that about 90 % of vegetable retail trade is in hand of migrants who are making these profits . The locals have been ousted because they were not willing to sit the whole day, consider it too menial to do this business and lacked interpersonal skills to retail vegetables.

Now what is required is the following
There has to be a mechanism by which all retailers will have to display the cost of bulk on the display which should be verifiable for a particular vegetable on the website/records  of the market from which the retailer has bought or picked up the vegetable for retail sale to consumer.
There are mainly two sources from which retailer is buying

  • Commission Agent
  • Farmer

The consumer who is consuming the vegetable and fruit is from all sections but with rising costs of vegetable prices, the one who feels the pinch is the lowest strata of society and the middle class. This leads to malnutrition in children, women, pregnant mothers and old persons as the house holder in order to balance the budget cuts down on vegetables and fruits which are a very rich source f macro and micro nutrients.
Warning and benefit  for the Government!

So when ever any government which fails to control prices of essentials it does not get votes from these segments which are affected by high vegetable prices. The famous onion induced defeat of Delhi BJP is an example.
 On the other hand if a govt can give solace to the poor public is likely to get their nod in the elections. This is no big asking as the only effort on the government’s part is control the GREED LEVEL OF RETAILERS OF VEGETABLE AND FRUIT RETAILERS.   This step will no doubt alienate a few but get you the good governance nod from a very large rural and urban poor. This will also encourage farmers to retail their own and get remunerative prices. This will also help local poor people to step in the trade  with the shrinking profits the migrants may think of other options.
This suggestion is  to limit the level of profits which they can make at the cost of a mass of lower and middle class people who are struggling to survive under the load of   inflation of  other essentials  like petrol, diesel, LPG, Atta, Rice, Kerosene, Electricity.

To give you an idea how the vegetable prices affect the inflation please refer to links below

http://www.telegraphindia.com/1120918/jsp/frontpage/story_15990093.jsp#.UjrcaHa6aM8

Costlier veggies take retail inflation to double digits — before diesel price hike kicked in
New Delhi, Sept 18 (PTI): Soaring vegetable prices pushed up the retail inflation to double digits at 10.03 per cent in August, up from 9.86 per cent in August.
According to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released on Tuesday, the highest rise in prices was for vegetables, which recorded an increase of 20.79 per cent during the month.
In the urban areas, the CPI rose to 10.19 per cent during the month as compared to 10.10 per cent in July. The retail price rise in rural areas worked out to be 9.90 per cent during August up from 9.76 per cent in the previous month.
The CPI for August, however, did not capture the impact of hike in diesel price announced by the government on September 13 to help the Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) to reduce their under recoveries.
The CPI for food and beverages section during August increased by 12.03 per cent, clothing, bedding and footwear by 10.71 per cent and fuel and light by 7.55 per cent.
Among the individual segments, steep rise in retail price was noticed in case of oil and fats (18.41 per cent), followed by sugar (17.51 per cent) and pulses and products (16.04 per cent).
The Reserve Bank of India in its mid-quarter monetary policy on MOnday had raised concerns about the price situation saying ”as inflationary tendencies have persisted, the primary focus on monetary policy remains the containment of inflation and anchoring of inflation expectations.”
The central bank had refrained from reducing the key pending rates despite persistent pressure from industry to cut them to promote sagging economic growth.

And how much vegetable prices have risen in last decade in comparison to other eatables you must read the report published in Times of India
By Subodh Verma ,Sep 20 2013
NEW DELHI: If you were to ask any random aam aadmi anywhere in India what is the single biggest failing of the UPA , the answer would be - price rise . This is so because the most important items of family spending - food items - have relentlessly risen for the past several years despite repeated promises to bring them down by the economic mandarins and policy wonks that run the country's economy. Poorer families have had to stop eating various foods in order to save crumbling family budgets.
Between 2004 and 2013 food prices in general rose by 157%. But when you get into the nuts and bolts the real pain becomes starkly clear. India is the second largest producer of vegetables in the world. Yet chronic supply shortages coupled with serial hoarding has led vegetable prices to shoot up by a deadly 350% in that period.
 
Onion prices have increased by an incredible 521% since 2004. And it's not a smooth even rise. There were times when onion prices doubled, even tripled within weeks and then subsided after a few weeks of rampage. This happened in the winter of 2010-11. And it is happening again now with onion prices touching Rs 70-80 levels in most parts of the country.
 
This has happened with other key staples also like potatoes. In the second half of 2009 potato prices zoomed up by almost 100% and it was only in January 2010 that the levels came down. Other vegetables have followed their own mad ways - brinjal for instance is 311% costlier now than in 2004, and prices of the lowly cabbage have risen by a jaw dropping 714%. Various vegetable prices are in fact at all time highs.
 
The hike in vegetable prices hit poorer families especially hard because earlier, starting 2006, another staple of families had been knocked out of thalis. This was pulses, the single biggest source of protein in largely vegetarian India. Their prices rose steadily 2005 onwards and by 2010 they had more than doubled. Then again they increased in 2012 and reached an all time high in September last year. There has been a slight decline since then but even then prices are 123% higher than 2004.
      
What about other key food items? Milk prices have increased by 119%. Egg prices have gone up by 124%. Spices and condiments have increased by 119%. Sugar has increased by 106%. Even salt, an essential of most cooked food has increased by 85% in the past decade.
 
Prices of the two staple cereals of India, rice and wheat, have increased by 137% and 117%, respectively. Remember, India has seen record harvests for a series of years and except for 2004 and 2009, monsoons have been good generally. So mass produced crops like wheat and rice which demand high water inputs have not been subject to the usual weather depression. Even fruit prices have increased by 95% despite bumper crops of many popular fruits like bananas, mangoes, oranges and papaya.
 
These are the wholesale prices. What the aam aadmi gets at the local shop has more jacked up prices. But if the wholesale prices have risen so dramatically, imagine the real prices you pay for.
 
Strangely, principal political parties gearing up for elections next year seem to be indifferent to this continuing decimation of family budgets. It will be a very angry voter that they will face at the hustings.